Quick Take: Step down in competition for Gastelum after dropping three straight. Gastelum’s last three KO wins are against guys on the downhill slope of their careers.He’s had 6 split decisions going 3-3 in those fights. Gastelum tends to fight to his opponent’s level of output.Heinisch has had some success against southpaws, going 4-1.Heinisch has gone to a decision in four of his last five, with his last fight lasting just over a minute where he TKO’d Gerald Meerschaert.
Gastelum has gone to a decision in three of his last four fights including the 5-round fight against champ Israel Adesanya. Gastelum is on a three fight losing streak, and just 2-5 in his last 7. #9 KELVIN GASTELUM 16-6 VS #15 IAN HEINISCH 14-3 Prediction: Barber, and I don’t hate the decision prop. Heck, Barber fought almost the entire fight against Modafferi with a torn ACL, and still made the final bell. Two very durable fighters with only one loss via finish between the two combined. That said though, Grasso gets taken down a lot, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Barber looks to get her to the mat for the ground and pound. This should be a good scrap against two that like to go ham on the feet. Quick Take: Very underrated co-main fight. Grasso is 0-1 against southpaws, though that can’t be read into here much, as the 1 loss was against Suarez, and the large majority of that fight was on the mat. Barber has two submission wins, though those came early in her career against low-level opponents. The one that didn’t, was a round 1 submission loss to Tatiana Suarez. 
Grasso has gone to a decision in eight of her last nine fights. Barber has never been finished in her career. Barber is very active on the feet, landing over six significant strikes per minute, and her last five victories have come by way of KO. Barber suffered a complete ACL tear in her left knee in that fight, early in the first round, yet still continued and made it to the final bell. Barber is returning after suffering the first defeat of her career in a fight where she was a -850 favorite to win. #10 MAYCEE BARBER 8-1 VS #15 ALEXA GRASSO 12-3 (Parlay position if you get down like that) Prediction: Usman, and while the world pounds the decision and over rounds, I actually wouldn’t be surprised if we possibly see a finish.īet: No play. The line should be a tad closer and we will see a good scrap against two guys that know each other very well, but I see Usman putting it on him like the Colby fight. Burns is known as a submission guy, but before you look to bite on that prop, remember he has had just one in the last five years, and Usman has never been taken down in any fight in the UFC. I can’t see Burns winning a decision, so he’s gotta get creative and look to finish. Usman will have a 5-inch reach advantage. Usman lands over three takedowns on average per 15 minutes which will work into play at some point against Burns’ 50% defense. He comes into this fight having defended 100% of takedown attempted against him. Usman has an NCAA Division II wrestling background, along with a BJJ black belt. Though possessing more speed, Burns lands roughly 1.5 fewer strikes per minute, with less accuracy, while also absorbing more shots per minute in comparison to Usman. 
This team includes former interim lightweight champ Justin Gaethje.
Usman left their camp to work with Trevor Wittman and his fight team for this match up. Burns has mentioned that he and Usman have had over 200 sparring sessions, as training partners for several years. Burns is 19-3 overall, but has yet to lose at 170, going 5-0. Usman has had five submission attempts against him since joining the UFC, though has never been defeated via any method. #UFC 258 PLAY BY PLAY PRO#
His last loss came in 2013, in just his second pro fight against Jose Caceres, losing via submission. Usman is on a 16 fight winning streak.(C) KAMARU USMAN 17-1 VS #2 GILBERT BURNS 19-3 ANDRE EWELL 17-6 VS CHRIS GUTIEREZ 15-3-2
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